2/11/21 Picks

2/11/21 Picks

High Advantage Picks


N/A


Advantage Picks


MIA at HOU

MIA -3

Pick: MIA


TOR at BOS

BOS -3.5

Pick: BOS


No Advantage Picks

Don’t Bet These, Am Just Keeping Track


IND at DET

IND -3

Pick: IND


PHI at POR

PHI -5.5

Pick: PHI


Stay Away


ORL at GSW


Notes:


I split my picks up into four categories.


High Advantage Picks are the bets where my analysis has gleaned an advantage with high confidence.  I recommend placing a 10% bet of your bankroll.  So if your bankroll is $1,000 you should bet $100 on these picks.


Advantage Picks are picks where my analysis has gleaned some insight, or advantage, with confidence.  I recommend placing a 5% bet of your bankroll.  So if your bankroll is $1,000 you should bet $50 on these picks.  


No Advantage Picks are picks where I have no special insight or advantage.  I do not recommend placing these bets.  I have no insight or advantage into these games. I'm posting these picks to help keep track of the difference between picks where I have an insight, or advantage, and picks where I do not have an advantage. In other words, these picks are demonstrating that my recommendation is correct, only bet on Pick of the Day and Advantage Picks. Therefore, win or lose, No Advantage Picks will not be counted in terms of overall record. The only picks that matter, and the only bets I recommend placing, are Pick of the Day and Advantage Picks. The rest are no better, and probably worse, than guessing.


Stay Away are games where there is too much volatility, or too many unknowns, to even venture a pick.


I recommend only betting the Pick of the Day and Advantage Picks.


Betting Lines are from the day of and are taken from https://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/las-vegas/

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