2/13/21 Picks

2/13/21 Picks


OVERALL RECORD: 11 - 4 (73%)


ADV Plus Record: 3-1 (75%)

ADV Record: 8-3 (73%)

No ADV Record: 15 - 12 (56%)

Total: 26 - 16 (62%) 


Advantage Plus Picks


N/A


Advantage Picks


HOU at NYK

HOU -1.5

Pick: NYK


MIA at UTA

UTA -5

Pick: UTA


No Advantage Picks

(Don’t bet these.  Am keeping track for comparison purposes)


IND at ATL

IND -1.5

Pick: IND


PHI at PHO

No Line Posted Yet

Pick: Take PHO if PHO is -4 or lower


Stay Away


BRK at GSW

BRK -4

Pick: Stay Away


Notes:


I split my picks up into four categories.


Advantage Plus Picks are the bets where my analysis has gleaned an advantage with high confidence.  I recommend placing a 10% bet of your bankroll.  So if your bankroll is $1,000 you should bet $100 on these picks.  There likely won’t be an Advantage Plus Pick every day and, some days, there may be more than one.


Advantage Picks are picks where my analysis has gleaned some insight, or advantage, with confidence.  I recommend placing a 5% bet of your bankroll.  So if your bankroll is $1,000 you should bet $50 on these picks.  


No Advantage Picks are picks where I have no special insight or advantage.  I do not recommend placing these bets.  I have no insight or advantage into these games. I'm posting these picks to help keep track of the difference between picks where I have an insight, or advantage, and picks where I do not have an advantage. In other words, these picks are demonstrating that my recommendation is correct, only bet on Advantage Plus Picks and Advantage Picks. Therefore, win or lose, No Advantage Picks will not be counted in terms of overall record. The only picks that matter, and the only bets I recommend placing, are Advantage Plus Picks and Advantage Picks. The rest are no better, and probably worse, than guessing.


Stay Away are games where there is too much volatility, or too many unknowns, to even venture a pick.


I recommend only betting the Advantage Plus Picks and Advantage Picks.


Betting Lines are from the day of and are taken from https://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/las-vegas/

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