One Week Update Record: 16 - 2 (89%) I started this project of offering picks on various NBA games on 2/6/13. You can see my picks each day here and here for accountability. I don't know anything about betting but I do have some insight into basketball and potential inefficiencies that can be capitalized on in particular games. I break my picks up into Advantage Plus Picks, Advantage Picks, No Advantage Picks, and Stay Away. I only recommend placing bets on Advantage Plus Picks and Advantage Picks. These are games where my analysis has revealed an insight. After a week, my record is as follows: Advantage Plus Picks: 4 - 1 (80%) Advantage Picks: 12 - 1 (92%) No Advantage Picks: 14 - 13 (52%) Combined Advantage Plus and Advantage Picks: 16 - 2 (89%) Notes: These are spread picks, meaning if the underdog loses by less than the margin set by Vegas, the bet will still win. I split my picks up into four categories. Advantage Plus Picks ( previously called High Advantage or Pick ...
2/13/21 Picks OVERALL RECORD: 11 - 4 (73%) ADV Plus Record: 3-1 (75%) ADV Record: 8-3 (73%) No ADV Record: 15 - 12 (56%) Total: 26 - 16 (62%) Advantage Plus Picks N/A Advantage Picks HOU at NYK HOU -1.5 Pick: NYK MIA at UTA UTA -5 Pick: UTA No Advantage Picks (Don’t bet these. Am keeping track for comparison purposes) IND at ATL IND -1.5 Pick: IND PHI at PHO No Line Posted Yet Pick: Take PHO if PHO is -4 or lower Stay Away BRK at GSW BRK -4 Pick: Stay Away Notes : I split my picks up into four categories. Advantage Plus Picks are the bets where my analysis has gleaned an advantage with high confidence. I recommend placing a 10% bet of your bankroll. So if your bankroll is $1,000 you should bet $100 on these picks. There likely won’t be an Advantage Plus Pick every day and, some days, there may be more than one. Advantage Picks are picks where my analysis has gleaned some insight, or advantage, with confidence. I recommend placing a 5% bet of you...
2/10/21 Spread Picks RESULTS Overall Record: 12 - 2 Pick of the Day CHA at MEM MEM -4 Pick: CHA Result: Bet Lost Advantage Picks OKC at LAL LAL -12 Pick: OKC Result: Bet Won No Advantage Picks IND at BRK BRK -2 Pick: BRK Result: Bet Won ATL at DAL DAL -4 Pick: DAL Result: Bet Lost LAC at MIN LAC -9 Pick: LAC Result: Bet Lost CLE at DEN DEN -9.5 Pick: CLE Result: Bet Lost MIL at PHO MIL -4 Pick: PHO Result: Bet Won Stay Away NOL at CHI NOL -3 Pick: Stay Away Record: Pick of the Day: 3 - 1 Pick of the Day Win Percentage: 75% Advantage Picks: 9 - 1 Advantage Picks Win Percentage: 90% No Advantage Picks: 8 - 12 No Advantage Picks Win Percentage: 40% Combined Pick of the Day and Advantage Picks: 12 - 2 Combined Pick of the Day and Advantage Picks Win Percentage: 86%
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